Coal prices remain stable, electricity prices are likely to increase in the near future

The National Development and Reform Commission recently announced that the relevant departments of the National Development and Reform Commission have held discussions with some coal groups, requiring major coal enterprises to maintain stable coal prices. At the same time, if the coal enterprises do not listen to the advice and increase the contract coal price without authorization, the NDRC will Price Law" related regulations...

The National Development and Reform Commission recently announced that the relevant departments of the National Development and Reform Commission have held discussions with some coal groups, requiring major coal enterprises to maintain stable coal prices. At the same time, if the coal enterprises do not listen to the advice and increase the contract coal price without authorization, the NDRC will follow the price. The relevant provisions of the Law shall be investigated and punished.

Experts pointed out that coal prices have been rising rapidly, coal-fired power companies are generally under pressure, and expectations for electricity price increases are steadily increasing. Today, the NDRC requires coal prices to remain stable, and the expected price increase may not be weakened, but the possibility of an increase in electricity prices will be greatly reduced.

The reporter learned that the National Development and Reform Commission requested coal enterprises to maintain stable coal prices, mainly because the current task of managing inflation expectations is very heavy. A few days ago, the Bureau of Statistics announced that the consumer price index (CPI) for May increased by 3.1% year-on-year, exceeding the target of 3% for the first time. Coal is in an important position in the national economy, and rising coal prices will intensify social inflation expectations. Therefore, the NDRC will adopt administrative measures to impose mandatory intervention on the market price of coal for early warning.

The National Development and Reform Commission has two specific requirements for regulating coal prices. First, the annual contract coal price cannot be changed. Coal enterprises that have increased their prices should be returned before the end of June. Second, state-owned coal enterprises and leading enterprises in the industry should take the lead in maintaining market coal. The price is basically stable and cannot lead the price increase.


At present, some coal enterprises that have adjusted the contract coal price will return the coal price as soon as possible. At the same time, the leading domestic coal industry leaders have indicated that they will take the lead in keeping the coal price basically stable, and will not adjust the market coal price in the near future. This summer's peak coal consumption, the possibility of a sharp rise in coal prices will be greatly reduced, and coal-fired power companies will also receive a brief respite because of the contract price correction.

Expert analysis pointed out that the government's intervention in coal prices does not mean that the expectation of the price increase will disappear, but it will only delay this expectation, because the previous coal price increase has been very high, and once the domestic consumer price index Within the acceptable range, inflationary pressures have decreased, and the repressed coal prices are likely to resume their upward momentum, again forcing industry electricity prices to rise. In addition, in the case of coal price control, whether the supply of coal enterprises can be guaranteed is also worthy of attention.

According to data released by the National Development and Reform Commission, in May this year, the national coal output was 284 million tons, an increase of 13.4% year-on-year, and the growth rate slowed by 4.4 percentage points from the previous month. National railway coal loaded 79,376 vehicles per day, up 14.4% year-on-year, down 2.5% in the same period last year; coal transportation volume was 168 million tons, up 15.4% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 11.1 percentage points year-on-year.

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